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Finally, the illusions of val...

Finally, the illusions of validity and skill are supported by a powerful professional culture. We know that people can maintain an unshakeable faith in any proposition, however absurd, when they are sustained by a community of like-minded believers. Given the professional culture of the financial community, it is not surprising that large numbers of individuals in that world believe themselves to be among the chosen few who can do what they believe others cannot.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Some achieve a reputation for...

Some achieve a reputation for great successes when in fact all they have done is take chances that reasonable people wouldn't take.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

To know whether you can trust...

To know whether you can trust a particular intuitive judgment, there are two questions you should ask: Is the environment in which the judgment is made sufficiently regular to enable predictions from the available evidence? The answer is yes for diagnosticians, no for stock pickers. Do the professionals have an adequate opportunity to learn the cues and the regularities? The answer here depends on the professionals' experience and on the quality and speed with which they discover their mistakes.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Spend some effort in figuring...

Spend some effort in figuring out why each decision did or did not pan out. Doing that systematically is key: really try to question the way you make decisions, and improve it.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Being wealthy is often a powe...

Being wealthy is often a powerful predictor that people spend less time doing pleasurable things and more time doing compulsory things and feeling stressed.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Below an income of ... $60,00...

Below an income of ... $60,000 a year, people are unhappy, and they get progressively unhappier the poorer they get. Above that, we get an absolutely flat line. ... Money does not buy you experiential happiness, but lack of money certainly buys you misery.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

We're not aware of changing o...

We're not aware of changing our minds even when we do change our minds. And most people, after they change their minds, reconstruct their past opinion - they believe they always thought that.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

We can be blind to the obviou...

We can be blind to the obvious, and we are also blind to our blindness.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

The illusion that we understa...

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

We can't live in a state of p...

We can't live in a state of perpetual doubt, so we make up the best story possible and we live as if the story were true.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

When action is needed, optimi...

When action is needed, optimism, even of the mildly delusional variety, may be a good thing.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

People exaggerate their confi...

People exaggerate their confidence in their plans - something we call the planning fallacy... The existence of the plan tends to induce overconfidence.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Researchers who studied a tho...

Researchers who studied a thousand Dutch vacationers concluded that by far the greatest amount of happiness extracted from the vacation is derived from the anticipation period.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Our memory tells us stories, ...

Our memory tells us stories, that is, what we get to keep from our experiences is a story.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

One of the major biases in ri...

One of the major biases in risky decision making is optimism. Optimism is a source of high-risk thinking.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

The dominance of conclusions ...

The dominance of conclusions over arguments is most pronounced where emotions are involved.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Facts that challenge basic as...

Facts that challenge basic assumptions-and thereby threaten people's livelihood and self-esteem-are simply not absorbed. The mind does not digest them.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

People tend to assess the rel...

People tend to assess the relative importance of issues by the ease with which they are retrieved from memory—and this is largely determined by the extent of coverage in the media. Frequently mentioned topics populate the mind even as others slip away from awareness. In turn, what the media choose to report corresponds to their view of what is currently on the public’s mind. It is no accident that authoritarian regimes exert substantial pressure on independent media. Because public interest is most easily aroused by dramatic events and by celebrities, media feeding frenzies are common

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

When everybody in a group is ...

When everybody in a group is susceptible to similar biases, groups are inferior to individuals, because groups tend to be more extreme than individuals.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

What happens with fear is tha...

What happens with fear is that probability doesn't matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to your child, even though the possibility is remote, you may find it very difficult to think of anything else. Emotion becomes dominant.

Daniel Kahneman 191 quotes

Добрые, щедрые, великодушные: 6 советских актеров, которые были всеобщими любимчиками

23

Советских актёров часто ставят в пример как образец духовной силы, национальной гордости и внутренней красоты. Они стали символами эпохи, носителями культуры и нравственности. Но, как известно, за кул...

Десять кинозвезд, которые отлично поют

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Актеры — люди творческие, но кто бы мог подумать, что некоторые из них скрывают прекрасный голос. В эпоху раннего Голливуда актеров с музыкальными способностями было немало — это считалось скорее норм...

Мэрилин Монро, Ким Кардашьян и другие

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Неузнаваемая Ким Кардашьян в объективе фотографа Маркуса Клинко, 2009 год. Памела Андерсон в самой первой съёмке для журнала «Playboy», 1990. На фото голливудская актриса Dorothy Lamour и шимпанзе Джи...

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Расскажем, как сложилась судьба актеров, которые начинали сниматься еще в детстве.
Остаться на вершине в Голливуде удаётся не каждому, особенно если путь начался в детстве. Одни актёры теряются из-за...

Жизнь за границей: как изменились судьбы 7 уехавших телеведущих

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Два года назад отечественное телевидение столкнулось с беспрецедентной кадровой тектоникой — целая группа ярких и узнаваемых ведущих стремительно исчезла с экранов федеральных каналов. Эти лица долгие...

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Кира Найтли на страницах журнала к выходу фильма «Пиджак», 2005. Следы динозавра, раскопанные в русле реки Палакси. Техас. США. 1952г. Самая большая женщина рядом с самым маленьким мужчиной, 1922 год....